Classification of NuWays AG to OHB SE
| Company Name: |
OHB SE |
| ISIN: |
DE0005936124 |
| |
| Reason for the research: |
Update |
| Recommendation: |
BUY |
| from: |
14.11.2025 |
| Target price: |
EUR 141.00 |
| Target price on sight of: |
12 months |
| Last rating change: |
|
| Analyst: |
Henry Wendisch / Simon Keller, CFA |
Q3 review: firm order intake and robust growth.
Yesterday, OHB released a strong set of Q3 results and a further rising order book amid a upcomingphase of strong newsflow. In detail:
Q3’25 order intake reached € 350m, implying a solid 1.2x book-to-bill ratio. In light of large orderwins in H1’25 (€ 1,249m) as well as in Q4’24 (€ 584m), the LTM
book-to-bill ratio remains high at1.9x.Consequently, the order backlog reached a new all time high at € 3,117m (+47% yoy), indicating improving visibility and OHB gaining traction even before any big-ticket defence orders.
Total output grew by 22% yoy in Q3 to € 300m (9M: +21% yoy to € 864m) driven by growth acrossall segments. The largest segment SPACE SYSTEMS grew by 30%
yoy to € 233m (9M: +18% yoyto € 672m) driven by good progress on navigation satellites (+55% yoy) as well as environmental &weather satellites (+34% yoy). The renamed segment ACCESS TO SPACE (prev. AEROSPACE) also showed excellent growth of 40% yoy to € 43m (9M: +22% to € 114m), followed by the segment DIGITAL growing by +34% yoy to € 36m (9M: +31% yoy to € 103m). Holding andconsolidation effects explain the remainder.
Q3 adj. EBITDA arrived 10% yoy higher at € 35m (10.1% margin, -1.3pp yoy), due to two maindrivers:
- OHB maintained a strong momentum in personnel efficiency, as total output (ex other op. inc.)per FTE continued to improve (Q3: 15% yoy; 9M: 14% yoy), as the 22% yoy output growth wasdelivered with an only 6% yoy higher headcount and likely a direct result of the ongoing efficiency program. Consequently, personnel expense rose by only 9% yoy to € 83m in Q3 (28% ofoutput; -3.2pp yoy).
- On the other hand, a disproportionate 32% yoy increase in material expenses to € 163m (54%of output, +4.1pp yoy) weighed on margins. We attribute this to a temporarily higher share of third-party services (eNuW: mostly pass-through revenues from sub-contractors), which naturally come with lower margins and fluctuate throughout the year. This effect was more pronounced in the SPACE SYSTEMS segment, explaining the 8% decline in segment EBITDA.
With a 9M EBITDA of € 75.5m (+21% yoy, 8.7% margin), the FY’25 EBITDA margin guidance of ~9% (eNuW: 11%, including a € 37.5m provision reversal due to a resolved project interference;adjusted for this: 9.3%) should be well in reach, as it implies a Q4 margin of 9.2%. Meanwhile, next to budget increases likely at ESA and announced by Germany’s Ministry of Defence,the EU’s 2028-34 Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) could also see a doubling in spacespending to € 40-60bn for 2028-34 vs. € 19bn in the current 2021-27 MFF.
Against this backdrop, we reiterate our BUY recommendation with unchanged PT of € 141, based on DCF.
You can download the research here:
251114ohb
For additional information visit our website:
https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed
Contact for questions:
NuWays AG - Equity Research
Web: www.nuways-ag.com
Email: research@nuways-ag.com
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany
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